Kilmarnock 0-1 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 20 Dec 2025

Kilmarnock
0-1 HT 0-0
Falkirk
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Kilmarnock vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.53
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
16%
5.36
X/2
10%
6.12
X/X
8%
4.41
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
20%
4.33
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.59/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.59
+12% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -57%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.1 Crosses 32.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kilmarnock vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Falkirk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.43 xG 2.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
262 Passes 262
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
01.11.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 3-1 HT 3-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
04.09.2021 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCK
06.10.2020 Falkirk Falkirk 3-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKLK
22.05.2016 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4-0 HT 2-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
19.05.2016 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKCL
08.05.2010 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP

Kilmarnock 0-1 Falkirk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
0-1
AWAY Falkirk
1.19 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
317 Passes 259
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk squeezed past Kilmarnock 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Falkirk made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 55% of the ball to Falkirk's 45%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.19 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.33 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Falkirk?

Kilmarnock 0-1 Falkirk in the Scotland - Premiership on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 39%, draw 24%, Falkirk 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kilmarnock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5
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