Motherwell 1-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.68
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
7%
19.45
X/1
24%
3.75
X/2
3%
15.2
X/X
7%
6.4
2/1
13%
23.55
2/2
5%
13.55
2/X
5%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
68%
+1.7pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.6pp
11%
Away Win
12%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-24% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.99/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.23
+7% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -14%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
450 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 185 · 62%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
24.8 Crosses 12.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.87 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
302 Passes 292
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
03.05.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
26.02.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
04.12.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
19.10.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
06.04.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
1-0
AWAY Dundee FC
1.23 xG 0.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
458 Passes 270
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell nicked a narrow win over Dundee FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Motherwell had 60% of the ball to Dundee FC's 40%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.23 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Motherwell and 1.67 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Dundee FC?

Motherwell 1-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 70%, draw 19%, Dundee FC 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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