Dundee United 1-1 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.76
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
24.45
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
7%
6.95
X/2
14%
5.21
X/X
11%
4.94
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
23%
3.04
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.14/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.12
-16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.6 Crosses 21.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hibernian
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.41 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
238 Passes 280
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 3-3 HT 1-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
03.05.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 3-1 HT 2-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
26.02.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 1-3 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
03.11.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
19.10.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 3-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
09.04.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
1-1
AWAY Hibernian
0.82 xG 1.26
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
184 Passes 328
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 30
35 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United and Hibernian couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Dundee United had 41% of the ball to Hibernian's 59%, shots finished 12-23, expected goals 0.82 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dundee United and 2.17 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Dundee United 1-1 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 29%, draw 24%, Hibernian 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernian), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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