Livingston 1-1 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 29% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.78/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.91/1.55
-48% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
241 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.68
47% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
213 Passes 245
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
17.02.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
25.11.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
02.09.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
01.04.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-0 HT 3-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
28.12.2022 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
1-1
AWAY St. Mirren
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Livingston vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston and St. Mirren couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Livingston had 52% of the ball to St. Mirren's 48%, shots finished 17-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Livingston and 1.17 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Livingston vs St. Mirren?

Livingston 1-1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Cup on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Livingston 37%, draw 25%, St. Mirren 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Mirren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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