Dundee United 2-0 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 22%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.21/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.86
+58% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ayr United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
20.07.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
20.04.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
03.02.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
09.12.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
26.08.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-3 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
14.08.2021 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
2-0
AWAY Ayr United
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United beat Ayr United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dundee United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundee United had 54% of the ball to Ayr United's 46%, shots finished 10-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dundee United and 0.50 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Ayr United?

Dundee United 2-0 Ayr United in the Scotland - Cup on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 49%, draw 28%, Ayr United 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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