Dundee United 2-1 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 20 Jul 2024

Dundee United
2-1 HT 1-0
Ayr United
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2024/2025

Dundee United vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.45
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 28% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
65%
-16.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.1pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee United v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.19/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.55
-47% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dundee United vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ayr United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
03.02.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
09.12.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
26.08.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-3 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
14.08.2021 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
03.03.2020 Ayr United Ayr United 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United edged past Ayr United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dundee United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundee United and 0.33 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Ayr United?

Dundee United 2-1 Ayr United in the Scotland - League Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 48%, draw 29%, Ayr United 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKLK More Scotland - League Cup
20 Jul 2024
17:00 Kelty Hearts vs Hibernian Analysis →
17:00 Arbroath vs Annan Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Stranraer vs Hamilton Analysis →
17:00 Brechin City vs Alloa Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Clyde vs Motherwell Analysis →
17:00 Livingston vs Dunfermline Athletic Analysis →