Stenhousemuir 4-0 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 17 Jan 2026

Stenhousemuir
4-0 HT 2-0
Greenock Morton
📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2025/2026

Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
14%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.3pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stenhousemuir v Greenock Morton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 40%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
0.79/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.60
-45% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +115%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Greenock Morton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
The Meetings
15.07.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-0 HT 3-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
21.07.2018 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
01.07.2017 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton HAZ
11.04.2015 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-2 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
10.01.2015 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-3 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İK1
22.11.2014 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-1 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir ran out comfortable winners over Greenock Morton 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Stenhousemuir found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stenhousemuir and 2.83 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton?

Stenhousemuir 4-0 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Cup on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 34%, draw 26%, Greenock Morton 40%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Greenock Morton), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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