Kilmarnock 1-2 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.95/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.75
-38% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.93 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 284
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
23.08.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
10.05.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-2 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
30.11.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
03.11.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-2 HT 1-2 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
05.10.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC squeezed past Kilmarnock 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kilmarnock at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.67 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC?

Kilmarnock 1-2 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Cup on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 43%, draw 26%, Dundee FC 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kilmarnock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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