Dundee FC 2-1 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.63
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.36
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
13%
5.87
X/2
11%
5.41
X/X
14%
3.88
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.84
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.38/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.39
+24% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
230 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 69%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
21.0 Crosses 24.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 Passes 253
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
10.05.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-2 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
30.11.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
03.11.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-2 HT 1-2 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
05.10.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
18.05.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
2-1
AWAY Kilmarnock
2.23 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
26 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
380 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC squeezed past Kilmarnock 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dundee FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundee FC had 57% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 43%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 2.23 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dundee FC and 1.67 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock?

Dundee FC 2-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 40%, draw 27%, Kilmarnock 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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