Livingston 1-3 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Dec 2025

Livingston
1-3 HT 0-1
Dundee United
📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Livingston vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.3
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
9%
5.22
X/2
13%
6.49
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
18%
4.63
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.0 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.19/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.19
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.6 Crosses 21.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Livingston vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dundee United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
249 Passes 234
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.10.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
20.05.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
22.04.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
08.03.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
31.08.2022 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 0-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
07.08.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 0-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP

Livingston 1-3 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
1-3
AWAY Dundee United
0.45 xG 3.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
320 Passes 232
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 50
18 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United beat Livingston 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Dundee United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Livingston had 56% of the ball to Dundee United's 44%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.45 to 3.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Livingston and 1.17 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Dundee United?

Livingston 1-3 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Livingston 38%, draw 24%, Dundee United 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ BTTS Yes
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