Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.53
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
13%
4.6
X/2
9%
8.17
X/X
13%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.55
2/2
13%
6.12
2/X
5%
14.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.45/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.69
-2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
25.4 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.61 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
285 Passes 364
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
26.04.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
01.02.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
21.12.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-3 HT 1-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
26.11.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 3-3 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
12.05.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-4 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
2-0
AWAY Aberdeen
1.64 xG 0.57
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
463 Passes 306
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian beat Aberdeen 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hibernian had 58% of the ball to Aberdeen's 42%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.64 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hibernian and 1.67 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Aberdeen?

Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 49%, draw 24%, Aberdeen 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Over 2.5
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