Motherwell 2-0 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
58%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.31
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.2
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
7%
9.68
X/2
16%
4.35
X/X
9%
5.89
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
32%
2.16
2/X
5%
14.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.2 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.0pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
58%
Away Win
55%
+2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 60%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.09/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.04
-10% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
229 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
17.8 Crosses 20.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Celtic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.67 xG 2.83
24% Ball Possession 76%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
149 Passes 666
61% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Celtic Celtic 3-2 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
02.02.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 1-3 HT 1-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
26.12.2024 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
27.10.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-3 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
25.02.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-3 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
25.11.2023 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
2-0
AWAY Celtic
1.40 xG 0.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
402 Passes 527
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell got the better of Celtic 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Celtic carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Motherwell had 43% of the ball to Celtic's 57%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.40 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Motherwell and 2.83 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Celtic?

Motherwell 2-0 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 23%, draw 20%, Celtic 58%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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