Aberdeen 1-2 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 33% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.87
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.8
X/2
16%
5.64
X/X
13%
4.67
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
10%
3.69
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.52/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.10
-4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
21.3 Crosses 20.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hibernian
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.71 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 Passes 278
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
01.02.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
21.12.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-3 HT 1-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
26.11.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 3-3 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
12.05.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-4 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
17.02.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-2
AWAY Hibernian
1.24 xG 2.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
413 Passes 345
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian squeezed past Aberdeen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Hibernian found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aberdeen had 54% of the ball to Hibernian's 46%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.24 to 2.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aberdeen and 1.67 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Aberdeen 1-2 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 39%, draw 28%, Hibernian 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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