Hearts vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hearts v Celtic — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Hearts
İKP
Hearts 3-1 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts saw off Celtic 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Celtic at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Hearts had 35% of the ball to Celtic's 65%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.88.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hearts and 2.00 for Celtic.
What was the final score of Hearts vs Celtic?
Hearts 3-1 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hearts vs Celtic?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hearts 26%, draw 23%, Celtic 51%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.