Rangers vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rangers v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Rangers vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Rangers had 75% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 25%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.36 to 1.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Rangers and 1.00 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Rangers 69%, draw 19%, Kilmarnock 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.