Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
15%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 69%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.84/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/0.77
+67% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +27%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
234 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hibernian
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
06.07.2019 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-3 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian HAZ
06.07.2017 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-4 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian HAZ
01.04.2017 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKCL
25.02.2017 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 2-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
22.10.2016 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-3 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKCL
13.08.2016 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
1-0
AWAY Hibernian
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic edged past Hibernian 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hibernian at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dunfermline Athletic had 48% of the ball to Hibernian's 52%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 2.50 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Hibernian?

Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 Hibernian in the Scotland - Cup on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 20%, draw 21%, Hibernian 59%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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