Dunfermline Athletic vs Hibernian Prediction — Model Probabilities
Dunfermline Athletic v Hibernian — Team-Based Signals
Dunfermline Athletic vs Hibernian Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 Hibernian — Actual Match Statistics
Dunfermline Athletic found just enough to beat Hibernian 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hibernian at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hibernian saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 10-11.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Dunfermline Athletic against 2.50 for Hibernian.
Dunfermline Athletic vs Hibernian Result & Final Score
Dunfermline Athletic 1 - 0 Hibernian in the Scotland - Cup on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Dunfermline Athletic vs Hibernian Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 14%, draw 19%, Hibernian 67%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.