Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 Jan 2026

📅20/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
7.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-2.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.6pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
2.23/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.54
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
19.4 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Khaleej
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.93 xG 0.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
382 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2025 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
18.10.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
29.12.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
17.08.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
04.03.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
27.08.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
2.78 xG 0.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
225 Passes 257
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 4
17 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah swept aside Al Khaleej 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 48% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 52%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.78 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 0.83 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej?

Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 61%, draw 20%, Al Khaleej 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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