Al Fateh 2-5 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 Jan 2026

📅20/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.76/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.14
+0% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
22.3 Crosses 10.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Kholood
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.85 xG 2.01
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
374 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
41 Box Touches 36
31 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2025 Al Kholood Al Kholood 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
20.10.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
2-5
AWAY Al Kholood
1.48 xG 2.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
322 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood ran out comfortable winners over Al Fateh 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fateh at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Fateh had 57% of the ball to Al Kholood's 43%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.48 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Kholood led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Fateh and 1.50 for Al Kholood.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Kholood?

Al Fateh 2-5 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 51%, draw 23%, Al Kholood 27%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Fateh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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