20/02/2025
·
03:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Independencia vs Manaus Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
31%
Home Win
25%
28%
Draw
28%
41%
Away Win
47%
59%
Under 2.5
57%
41%
Over 2.5
43%
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
55%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independencia v Manaus — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Independencia
The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Manaus
The Market 51%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+38% /
+38%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
-21%
42%
Ball Possession
58%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
217 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
388 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Independencia vs Manaus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Independencia and Manaus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Manaus at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Independencia vs Manaus?
Independencia 1-1 Manaus in the Brazil - Cup on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independencia vs Manaus?
Before kick-off our model rated an Manaus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Independencia 31%, draw 28%, Manaus 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Manaus), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Manaus)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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20 Feb 2025