Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos Laguna v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Santos Laguna
MEK
3-2
HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
4-0
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-2
HT 0-1
Santos Laguna
MEK
Santos Laguna 0-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Santos Laguna 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santos Laguna had 45% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 55%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.34 to 1.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruz Azul's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.33 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
Santos Laguna 0-1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 28%, draw 29%, Cruz Azul 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.