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Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melbourne Victory (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory (K) and Wellington Phoenix (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Melbourne Victory (K) had 57% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 43%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.18 to 1.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Melbourne Victory (K) and 1.50 for Wellington Phoenix (K).
What was the final score of Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 33%, draw 28%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), BTTS No went the other way.