Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Australia - W-League, 20 Feb 2026

Melbourne Victory (K) DLWDD→
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Wellington Phoenix (K) WWWWL→
📅20/02/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 06:51
Match Result
Home
35%
2.45
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
47%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
2%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PICK this match carries Gold / Silver / Bronze pattern picks — free account to see which outcomes.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Melbourne Victory (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Melbourne Victory (K) The Market 41%
Signal
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K) The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.16 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
1.47 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
Bad Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.83 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
338 Passes 243
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.11.2025 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
08.02.2025 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
13.12.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
03.03.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 5-3 HT 4-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW

Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
1 - 1
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
1.18 xG 1.61
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
287 Passes 191
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 25
REVIEW Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Melbourne Victory (K) and Wellington Phoenix (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.

On the day, possession split 57% to 43% in Melbourne Victory (K)'s favour, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.18 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.75 a game for Melbourne Victory (K) against 1.50 for Wellington Phoenix (K).

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Result & Final Score

Melbourne Victory (K) 1 - 1 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 35%, draw 28%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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