Marquense 2-1 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.19/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.59
-5% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mixco
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 5
16.11.2025 Marquense Marquense 1-2 HT 0-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
13.09.2025 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
10.03.2025 Marquense Marquense 1-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
23.01.2025 Mixco Mixco 2-3 HT 2-2 Marquense Marquense GUAT
27.10.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
10.08.2024 Marquense Marquense 2-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense squeezed past Mixco 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marquense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Marquense and 1.00 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Mixco?

Marquense 2-1 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marquense 42%, draw 28%, Mixco 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marquense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marquense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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