Chelsea U21 2-2 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.22
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
2%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
78%
-3.5pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.1pp
9%
Away Win
9%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 12%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.11/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.89
+28% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +32%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
450 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses 12.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea U21
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Leeds United U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.86 xG 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
409 Passes 274
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2025 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 1-1 HT 0-1 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 INGPL2
19.02.2024 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 INGPL2-1
02.02.2024 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 3-3 HT 2-1 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 İNPLK
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 and Leeds United U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chelsea U21 at 74% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chelsea U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chelsea U21 and 1.33 for Leeds United U21.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Chelsea U21 2-2 Leeds United U21 in the INGPL2 on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 74%, draw 17%, Leeds United U21 9%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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