İsveç U21 1-2 Belçika U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsveç U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.45/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.60
-69% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +135%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 473 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsveç U21
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Belçika U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
16.10.2018 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 0-3 HT 0-2 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 U21
06.10.2017 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 1-1 HT 1-0 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsveç U21
1-2
AWAY Belçika U21
2.00 xG 1.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
321 Passes 418
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İsveç U21 vs Belçika U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika U21 nicked a narrow win over İsveç U21 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was İsveç U21 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, İsveç U21 had 45% of the ball to Belçika U21's 55%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 2.00 to 1.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured İsveç U21.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Belçika U21 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for İsveç U21 and 2.00 for Belçika U21.

What was the final score of İsveç U21 vs Belçika U21?

İsveç U21 1-2 Belçika U21 in the Friendlies on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsveç U21 vs Belçika U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split İsveç U21 41%, draw 25%, Belçika U21 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İsveç U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsveç U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
20 Mar 2025
14:00 Galler U21 vs Andorra U21 Analysis →
14:00 Mönchengladbach vs Viktoria Köln Analysis →
15:00 Greuther Fürth vs Jahn Regensburg Analysis →
15:30 Luzern vs Neuchatel Xamax Analysis →
16:00 Polonya U21 vs Danimarka U21 Analysis →
16:00 Bochum vs Preussen Münster Analysis →