Greuther Fürth 3-1 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
3.02
6+ Goals
14%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.45
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
12%
4.68
X/2
12%
8.17
X/X
11%
5.48
2/1
8%
21.4
2/2
11%
5.76
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+16% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 274
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2025 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 2-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
29.10.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AFK
30.08.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-4 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
14.04.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
07.10.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
17.03.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth got the better of Jahn Regensburg 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Greuther Fürth as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.00 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Jahn Regensburg?

Greuther Fürth 3-1 Jahn Regensburg in the Friendlies on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 42%, draw 27%, Jahn Regensburg 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greuther Fürth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greuther Fürth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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