Ulm 1846 2-0 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.67
1/2 EV+
9%
33.0
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
11%
4.8
X/2
14%
7.43
X/X
8%
5.21
2/1
9%
22.55
2/2
8%
5.24
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +77%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
2W-0D-1L
AWAY 1860 München
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 1860 München 1860 München 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
03.10.2023 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 1-0 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
13.02.2019 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 1-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
2-0
AWAY 1860 München
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 saw off 1860 München 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ulm 1846 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 53% of the ball to 1860 München's 47%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ulm 1846 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ulm 1846 and 0.33 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs 1860 München?

Ulm 1846 2-0 1860 München in the Friendlies on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 44%, draw 25%, 1860 München 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulm 1846) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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