Luzern 3-1 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.54/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/1.00
+40% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / +63%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
333 Passes 289
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.07.2020 Luzern Luzern 1-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV
09.02.2020 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-1 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
26.10.2019 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-0 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
26.09.2019 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV
13.04.2019 Luzern Luzern 0-1 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV
10.02.2019 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 HT 2-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
3-1
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern got the better of Neuchatel Xamax 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Luzern as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Luzern had 63% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 37%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Luzern and 1.17 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Luzern 3-1 Neuchatel Xamax in the Friendlies on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Luzern 50%, draw 26%, Neuchatel Xamax 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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