CD Tapatio 1-1 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.6pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.3pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.13/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.83
-6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +58%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atlante
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
05.10.2024 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
06.05.2024 Atlante Atlante 5-1 HT 1-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
03.05.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-3 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
03.04.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
01.10.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
04.06.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio and Atlante shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atlante at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.83 for Atlante.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Atlante?

CD Tapatio 1-1 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 36%, draw 19%, Atlante 45%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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