Brisbane Roar (K) 4-2 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 20 Mar 2026

Brisbane Roar (K)
4-2 HT 0-0
Newcastle Jets (K)
📅20/03/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.7pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane Roar (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.06/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.55
-25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
13.9 Crosses 18.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.97 xG 1.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 Passes 222
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
16.03.2025 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-3 HT 2-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
21.12.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-6 HT 1-3 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
17.02.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
13.01.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
29.12.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW

Brisbane Roar (K) 4-2 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
4-2
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.57 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 5
195 Passes 198
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) saw off Newcastle Jets (K) 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Brisbane Roar (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 50% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 50%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.57 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 2.17 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 4-2 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 37%, draw 23%, Newcastle Jets (K) 40%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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