Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sydney (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Sydney (K) 1-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix (K) got the better of Sydney (K) 3-1 away from home. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wellington Phoenix (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Wellington Phoenix (K) saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.57 to 1.80.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Sydney (K) against 3.00 for Wellington Phoenix (K).
Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Result & Final Score
Sydney (K) 1 - 3 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 17%, draw 19%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.