.png)
.png)
Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sydney (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
_small.png)
_small.png)
Sydney (K) 1-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix (K) got the better of Sydney (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Wellington Phoenix (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sydney (K) had 49% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 51%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.57 to 1.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sydney (K) and 3.00 for Wellington Phoenix (K).
What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Sydney (K) 1-3 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 29%, draw 18%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.