Amiens SC 3-4 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
54%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
13%
15.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.6 — our 22% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.52
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
8%
7.29
X/2
21%
4.65
X/X
8%
4.51
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.75
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.0pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.1pp
54%
Away Win
46%
+8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.13/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.09
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.8 Crosses 13.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Le Mans FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.12 xG 1.23
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
195 Passes 425
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.12.2025 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
13.04.2012 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
02.12.2011 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
20.05.2005 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
17.12.2004 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
23.05.2003 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
3-4
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.29 xG 2.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
258 Passes 285
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC squeezed past Amiens SC 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Le Mans FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Amiens SC had 48% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 52%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.29 to 2.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Amiens SC and 1.00 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Le Mans FC?

Amiens SC 3-4 Le Mans FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 25%, draw 21%, Le Mans FC 54%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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