Pau 0-0 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Mar 2026

Pau
0-0 HT 0-0
Montpellier
📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Pau vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 31% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.12
1/2
8%
24.8
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
15%
6.26
X/2
13%
5.37
X/X
11%
4.92
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
22%
3.26
2/X
9%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pau v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -23%
1.27/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.01
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
20.3 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Pau vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Montpellier
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.89 xG 1.21
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 12
243 Passes 426
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 34
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2025 Montpellier Montpellier 0-1 HT 0-1 Pau Pau FR2
06.01.2023 Pau Pau 2-1 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FRK

Pau 0-0 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
0-0
AWAY Montpellier
1.59 xG 0.32
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
465 Passes 214
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pau vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau and Montpellier fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pau had 65% of the ball to Montpellier's 35%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.59 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pau had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pau and 0.50 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Pau vs Montpellier?

Pau 0-0 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pau 30%, draw 26%, Montpellier 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montpellier) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✓ Under 2.5
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