Loughgall FC 1-3 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Mar 2026

Loughgall FC
1-3 HT 1-2
Institute FC
📅20/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Loughgall FC vs Institute FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
7%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 30% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Loughgall FC v Institute FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
2.10/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.59
+9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Loughgall FC vs Institute FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Institute FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2026 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
08.08.2025 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
14.01.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
10.12.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
01.10.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
12.02.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC saw off Loughgall FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Loughgall FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.17 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Institute FC?

Loughgall FC 1-3 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 54%, draw 21%, Institute FC 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Loughgall FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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