Chesterfield 3-2 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Apr 2024

Chesterfield
3-2 HT 2-0
Maidenhead United
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Chesterfield vs Maidenhead United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 30% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
9%
3.94
X/2
7%
10.4
X/X
13%
6.28
2/1
6%
20.45
2/2 EV+ ✗
18%
7.47
2/X
6%
16.1
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.47 — our 18% vs market 9.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
60%
-16.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+11.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesterfield v Maidenhead United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
2.32/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.54
+27% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Chesterfield vs Maidenhead United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Maidenhead United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
01.04.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
01.10.2022 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-2 HT 0-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
19.03.2022 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
18.01.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 3-2 HT 2-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
13.03.2021 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL

Chesterfield 3-2 Maidenhead United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
3-2
AWAY Maidenhead United
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield squeezed past Maidenhead United 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chesterfield as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Chesterfield had 60% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 40%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidenhead United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chesterfield and 1.33 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Maidenhead United?

Chesterfield 3-2 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 43%, draw 26%, Maidenhead United 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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