Gateshead 2-1 Bromley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 27% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.91
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.78
X/2
12%
6.61
X/X
14%
5.12
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
12%
4.55
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromley EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.43/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.23
-7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bromley
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Bromley Bromley 3-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
15.04.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 0-3 HT 0-0 Bromley Bromley İBSL
08.10.2022 Bromley Bromley 1-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
08.12.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 2-0 HT 1-0 Bromley Bromley İBSL
18.08.2018 Bromley Bromley 1-0 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
07.04.2018 Bromley Bromley 0-0 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
2-1
AWAY Bromley
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Bromley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead nicked a narrow win over Bromley 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Gateshead made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gateshead had 64% of the ball to Bromley's 36%, shots finished 19-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bromley led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gateshead and 1.33 for Bromley.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Bromley?

Gateshead 2-1 Bromley in the England - National League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Bromley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 39%, draw 31%, Bromley 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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