Greuther Fürth II 2-1 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
43%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
42%
-15.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
43%
Away Win
32%
+11.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.53/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.74
-5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Vilzing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.10.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 3-1 HT 3-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
06.04.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 1-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
06.08.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-1 HT 0-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth II
2-1
AWAY Vilzing
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II edged past Vilzing 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vilzing at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth II had 47% of the ball to Vilzing's 53%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vilzing led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 1.67 for Vilzing.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Vilzing?

Greuther Fürth II 2-1 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vilzing win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 26%, draw 30%, Vilzing 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vilzing) ✗ Under 2.5
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