Lehnerz 1-0 Hoffenheim II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
24%
+11.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim II EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.73/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.22
-43% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Hoffenheim II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2023 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 4-0 HT 1-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
15.04.2023 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 3-0 HT 1-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
08.10.2022 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs Hoffenheim II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lehnerz squeezed past Hoffenheim II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lehnerz and 2.67 for Hoffenheim II.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs Hoffenheim II?

Lehnerz 1-0 Hoffenheim II in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs Hoffenheim II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 35%, draw 21%, Hoffenheim II 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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