Bayswater City 5-2 Perth Glory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.14
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.35
No
39%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.7pp
39%
BTTS No
30%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.41/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.45
-33% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayswater City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.06.2023 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 6-3 HT 3-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
01.04.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 3-3 HT 3-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
11.06.2022 Bayswater City Bayswater City 4-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
10.05.2022 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 2-2 HT 0-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
03.07.2021 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 3-0 HT 0-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
01.04.2021 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVUSB
POST-MATCH Bayswater City vs Perth Glory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayswater City swept aside Perth Glory II 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayswater City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bayswater City and 2.67 for Perth Glory II.

What was the final score of Bayswater City vs Perth Glory II?

Bayswater City 5-2 Perth Glory II in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayswater City vs Perth Glory II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayswater City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bayswater City 46%, draw 24%, Perth Glory II 30%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayswater City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayswater City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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