Perth RedStar FC 2-3 Fremantle City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

Perth RedStar FC
2-3 HT 1-1
Fremantle City
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Perth RedStar FC vs Fremantle City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.3pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth RedStar FC v Fremantle City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth RedStar FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.78/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.01
+34% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Perth RedStar FC vs Fremantle City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremantle City edged past Perth RedStar FC 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Perth RedStar FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Perth RedStar FC vs Fremantle City?

Perth RedStar FC 2-3 Fremantle City in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth RedStar FC vs Fremantle City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth RedStar FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Perth RedStar FC 46%, draw 24%, Fremantle City 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Perth RedStar FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perth RedStar FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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