Melbourne Victory 0-0 Brisbane Roar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 20 Apr 2024

Melbourne Victory
0-0 HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.09
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.2
X/2
8%
9.82
X/X
8%
6.17
2/1
8%
20.25
2/2
10%
6.69
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne Victory v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 25%
-16% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.50/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.90
-26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
21.7 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Roar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
441 Passes 341
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 3-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
29.04.2023 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
06.01.2023 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
29.10.2022 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 0-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
25.04.2022 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 1-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
12.04.2022 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 0-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS

Melbourne Victory 0-0 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory
0-0
AWAY Brisbane Roar
0.54 xG 2.30
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 13
340 Passes 518
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 53
9 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne Victory at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melbourne Victory had 40% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 60%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.54 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Melbourne Victory and 1.00 for Brisbane Roar.

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?

Melbourne Victory 0-0 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory 52%, draw 23%, Brisbane Roar 26%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Victory) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVUS More Australia - A-League
20 Apr 2024
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