Kiffen 2-4 Atlantis II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 29% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiffen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlantis II EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.65/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.99
-2% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +62%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kiffen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atlantis II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2023 Atlantis II Atlantis II 2-2 HT 0-2 Kiffen Kiffen FİNKAK
POST-MATCH Kiffen vs Atlantis II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlantis II beat Kiffen 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Atlantis II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Kiffen vs Atlantis II?

Kiffen 2-4 Atlantis II in the Finland - Kakkonen on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiffen vs Atlantis II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlantis II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kiffen 35%, draw 25%, Atlantis II 40%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlantis II), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atlantis II) ✓ Over 2.5
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