Real Union 1-3 Barcelona II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.86
Over
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.17
2-3
36%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.44
6+
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Union EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.72/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.40
+25% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
229 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Union
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Barcelona II
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
03.03.2024 Real Union Real Union 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
03.09.2023 Barcelona II Barcelona II 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
18.03.2023 Real Union Real Union 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
17.12.2022 Barcelona II Barcelona II 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Union
1-3
AWAY Barcelona II
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Union vs Barcelona II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II got the better of Real Union 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Union at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Real Union had 39% of the ball to Barcelona II's 61%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Barcelona II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Real Union and 1.20 for Barcelona II.

What was the final score of Real Union vs Barcelona II?

Real Union 1-3 Barcelona II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Union vs Barcelona II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Union 43%, draw 30%, Barcelona II 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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