Atlético Paso 0-1 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.68
Over
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+9.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
48%
-11.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 52%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
0.90/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -72%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Colonia Moscardo 4-3 HT 3-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlético Paso
0-1
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo edged past Atlético Paso 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Colonia Moscardo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Atlético Paso had 62% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 38%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Colonia Moscardo?

Atlético Paso 0-1 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlético Paso win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 36%, draw 28%, Colonia Moscardo 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5
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