CD Guadalajara 2-1 Getafe II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.67
Over
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-9.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe II EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.78/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.94
+38% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
210 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Getafe II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Getafe II Getafe II 2-2 HT 1-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
17.12.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 1-0 HT 0-0 Getafe II Getafe II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-1
AWAY Getafe II
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Getafe II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara squeezed past Getafe II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; CD Guadalajara found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 51% of the ball to Getafe II's 49%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CD Guadalajara had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Guadalajara and 1.00 for Getafe II.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Getafe II?

CD Guadalajara 2-1 Getafe II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Getafe II?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 36%, draw 30%, Getafe II 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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