Guijuelo 1-4 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.54
Over
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 58%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.21/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.85
-76% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Numancia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 29
3 Shots on Target 15
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.12.2024 Numancia Numancia 2-2 HT 1-2 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guijuelo
1-4
AWAY Numancia
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia cruised past Guijuelo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guijuelo had 52% of the ball to Numancia's 48%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Numancia?

Guijuelo 1-4 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 27%, draw 26%, Numancia 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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