Izarra 0-1 Anguiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.75
Over
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
32%
4-5
21%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Izarra EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Anguiano EU Bookmakers 51%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-54% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
219 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Izarra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Anguiano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
08.12.2024 Anguiano 2-1 HT 1-0 Izarra Izarra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Izarra
0-1
AWAY Anguiano
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Izarra vs Anguiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anguiano squeezed past Izarra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Anguiano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Izarra had 59% of the ball to Anguiano's 41%, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of Izarra vs Anguiano?

Izarra 0-1 Anguiano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Izarra vs Anguiano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anguiano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Izarra 36%, draw 23%, Anguiano 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anguiano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anguiano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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