Langreo 1-0 Llanera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.68
Over
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Langreo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanera EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.21/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.76
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
145 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 123 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Langreo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Llanera
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Llanera Llanera 0-1 HT 0-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
12.02.2022 Langreo Langreo 3-0 HT 1-0 Llanera Llanera İS4
25.09.2021 Llanera Llanera 2-2 HT 0-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Langreo
1-0
AWAY Llanera
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Langreo vs Llanera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Langreo nicked a narrow win over Llanera 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Langreo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Langreo had 55% of the ball to Llanera's 45%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Langreo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Langreo and 0.67 for Llanera.

What was the final score of Langreo vs Llanera?

Langreo 1-0 Llanera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Langreo vs Llanera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Langreo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Langreo 38%, draw 28%, Llanera 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Langreo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Langreo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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