Marino De Luanco 1-1 Bergantinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.52
Over
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
42%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.03/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.27
-15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Bergantinos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Bergantinos Bergantinos 1-2 HT 1-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
11.03.2023 Bergantinos Bergantinos 1-1 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
23.10.2022 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 2-3 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
26.03.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
07.11.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-1 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
1-1
AWAY Bergantinos
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Bergantinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco and Bergantinos shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 49% of the ball to Bergantinos's 51%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bergantinos led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marino De Luanco and 1.20 for Bergantinos.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Bergantinos?

Marino De Luanco 1-1 Bergantinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Bergantinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 40%, draw 30%, Bergantinos 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marino De Luanco), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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